Hagedorn’s Chances 2016, Slim to None

In 2014, Jim Hagedorn (R) defeated Aaron Miller (R) to contest again Congressman Tim Walz (D-01). In a beneficial year for Republicans, Walz trounced Hagedorn by 19,315 votes or 8.52%. In 2016, a Presidential election year, Hagedorn has announced his intent to try again in his attempt to follow in his father’s footsteps. Congressman Tom Hagedorn (R-MN01) 1977-1982, defeated by state Senator Tim Penny (D-New Richland).

We expect the margin will widen and Hagedorn, may lose by double digits. We expect there will be more than 250,000 people who vote in the 1st Congressional district and as the numbers increase it is proven to be an advantage to Democrats.

Additionally, this could also be helpful to Democratic legislative candidates in the district. A competitive race at the Congressional District level will increase the turnout in those respective districts as well.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s